October 4, 2012 at 6:12 pm #26074Subhojit ChakrabortyMember
Hero (SB) (t12400)
Hero’s M: 103.33
Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, Q
, MP calls t80, , Hero bets t240, , MP calls t160
Flop: (t560) J, 5, 9 (2 players)
Hero bets t160, MP calls t160
Turn: (t880) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets t720, MP calls t720
River: (t2320) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets t1040, MP raises to t3720 (All-In),
October 4, 2012 at 6:15 pm #34291Vinay SuchedeMember
October 4, 2012 at 6:31 pm #34292Subhojit ChakrabortyMember
i really had a hard time figuring his range…what kinda hand would you put him on?..can you please explain your decision?..thanks
October 4, 2012 at 8:00 pm #34294Vinay SuchedeMember
55, J9, 45, J8s, QT also possible.. though very few combos of that left..
basically your naked over pair is more often ‘not good’ than ‘good’ here..
October 5, 2012 at 3:25 am #343074betterMember
backdoor flush or 67
October 5, 2012 at 2:32 pm #26075Rakesh SharmaMember
Preflop: With MP calling, there’s already 160 in the pot + your 40 = 200. With QQ and a big stack behind, I’d raise not to 240 but to 360+ esp if MP is a LAG. When you bet 240 with pot now at 400 (80+240+80), he only has to bet 160 to fight for a total pot 560! He may flatcall the raise with any range of hands – small pockets, connectors, suited spades or diamonds.
Apart from the possible/ range discussed above, and depending on the type of player (what was his previous call-raise pattern, his hand ranges etc), he may have flatted with AJ. And top pair top kicker would make him feel he has the best hand. Or even KJ.
So, he may have shoved with a hand lesser than yours. This, too, is a possibility to consider. If your preflop raise had been stronger, he may put you on a strong pair or an AK kind of hand. It may make him less aggressive if he thinks you maybe ahead of his AJ or KJ.
Or His shove may mask his busted spade flush draw with a pair on board, with a high kicker.
Though in this case, he may have truly made the nuts by the river. But, for analysis, consider the lesser hands too.
2. Postflop play: In a pot of 560, you bet 160 with a spade flush draw and no spade Q with you. I’d call with flush draws, even gutshot straight draws and A9 or A5 – if the bet had been say 360+, it makes villain consider folding.
3. The Turn bet indicates a serious fear of diamond flush draw. Esp because you bet 720 after a 160 bet on flop. So whether he has it or not, he can shove into your fear of it, the moment a diamond opens on the river.
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