I’m just back from a rewarding trip spent mostly at the cash tables at Casino Royale. Other than the many sick beats I dodged and delivered, I most remember the hand I play against a good friend of mine at the tables there.
The flop comes Q, 9, 2.
I had 99 and flopped a set. The only player before me bet 10,000 and I take a minute b4 I match it, my buddy moves all in for another 18,000 and the initial bettor lays down, I obviously call. He doesn’t flip his hand right away and the turn card is another Q. The river card was a low rag. By now I’m obviously feeling coolered and about to hate my luck as I put him on Q2. It’s quite natural to imagine the worst after you have made a call on a big enough bet in terms of your non-existent bankroll – mine.
Luckily for me he hit his set with deuces and wasn’t [B]living on a prayer[/B] with a two pair (Q2). Believe me his is not a fish, but it’s so natural, at least for me, to assume the worst in cash games.
The odds of encountering a situation may seem quite frequent to the uncalculating among us. If you do care see the thorough breakdown provided by the ever savior spacebidder at 2+2: [URL=”http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/25/probability/probability-set-over-set-380320/”]http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/25/probability/probability-set-over-set-380320/ [/URL]